Łukasz Wyrzykowski (in the screenshot), IFCN, explained today at the IFCN Dairy Conference 2022 | Next Generation of Dairy Farming & Dairy Farmer that 50% of global emissions related to milk production are generated by small-scale dairy farmers typical of developing countries, and the trend is rising. In contrast, emissions in western countries have remained constant over the last years. Wyrzykowski said solutions must be found specifically for subsistence farming. If the Netherlands cuts its milk production by 50% “to save the planet”, this will not be effective. For as soon as the EU sells less dairy on the world market, other regions with lower standards will produce more milk and aggravate the climate gas situation overall.
Demand for milk, on the other hand, will increase by 20% worldwide by 2030, IFCN expects. But if the main supplier regions, the EU and New Zealand, which today supply the world with milk, reduce their production, who will be able to meet the rising demand at acceptable prices, Wyrzykowski asked.
For the near future, IFCN sees at best a slight decline in milk prices, but they are expected to remain between US$55 and 60/100 kg. Milk production will continue to face cost increases and competition among dairies for raw milk will intensify.